
MARKET INTELLIGENCE
Big box bulletin
Q1 2025: Review of Distribution Activity
Panattoni Park J28
Data and analysis
Commentary
In the first quarter of 2025, take-up of big-box (100,000 sq ft+) grade A units totalled 4.6 million sq ft, a 10% decrease compared to the same period last and a third lower than the 5-year, Q1 average. Almost two thirds of activity (63%) took place in the East Midlands driven by mega-shed acquisitions including Amazon’s 956,000 sq ft unit in Kettering and DHL’s 497,000 sq ft shed in Corby. The supply pipeline of grade A space increased by 8% compared to Q4 2024, to 55.7 million sq ft. Whilst the amount of completed speculative units declined by 8% over the quarter, there was a 14% rise in the amount of speculative space under construction, bringing much-needed new stock to the market. However, there was a sharp rise in the amount of second-hand stock returning to the market, which now accounts for 44% of the total supply pipeline.
Despite the current global economic issues, the big box investment market has improved compared to Q1 2024. Investment volumes increased by 9%, however, they remain 15% lower than the 5-year Q1 average. Prime rental growth across most regions remained stable, with the exception of Scotland, where rents increased by 3%.
"Our outlook for the big box market for the remainder of the year is positive. Despite the decline in take-up levels, compared to Q1 last year, over 3.3 million sq ft of space is already under offer in April this year. Enquiry levels for big-box space remain encouraging and we believe that activity will be similar to that of 2024, which is similar to pre-pandemic levels. It is also encouraging to see a rise in investment volumes, compared to Q1 last year, highlighting the sectors’ resilience and investors’ appetite for industrial stock across the UK."

David Willmer
Principal & Managing Director, Industrial & Logistics
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